Looking at today's morning consult polling, Trump is at 58% in the Republican primary among likely Republican voters.
While that means the rest of the field is at 42% and his hold on the nomination is strong (not inevitable, but strong), it got me thinking about party affiliation.
Gallup Party Affiliation July 2023
If we believe Gallup, 27% self-identify as Republican. That subset is likely more pro-Trump than Republican Unlikely Voters. My logic, if you back Trump, you are likely to vote. If you are waiting for someone else, you are less likely to vote. So, 58% is the high end of the Republican party are the all-in Trumpers.
58% of 27% is <16% (15.66666%). While it is disturbing that 16% of our fellow citizens have devoted themselves to this (insert your favorite nick name for TFG.) It's Sunday, I am feeling optimistic that 84% are not zombies.
I know this leaves out a huge swath of right leaning Independent voters who have recently left the party. I would argue, with only anecdotal evidence, that a majority of those are not Trump backers. If they backed him, they'd still be Republicans.
I know that most of the 42% of likely Republican voters would hold their nose and vote for Trump because the thought of voting for any (D) is antithetical to their existence.
I also know that national polling has a tighter head to head match up with Biden.
But it's Sunday and I'm choosing optimism and dedication to turning out the 84% who are not wanting to return to chaos.